As Japan's 27 October general election approaches, I will be distributing a guide to the election, reviewing each constituency and offering a rough forecast of the likely outcome. The guide will be available to all paying subscribers to my Substack, but it will also be available for purchase for a nominal fee. Stay tuned for …
Tag: Japanese politics
“Japan’s Upper House Election Results,” Sasakawa USA
On Monday, 22 July 2019, Washington College's Andrew Oros and I discussed the outcome of the upper house elections held the previous day, speaking to - much to my surprise - a packed room. Photo courtesy of Ben Self Our discussion dissected the significance of the results for Prime Minister Abe, Japan's political parties, and …
Continue reading “Japan’s Upper House Election Results,” Sasakawa USA
Abe’s underwhelming victory
Abe Shinzō's LDP-led coalition with Komeitō got its wish Sunday, winning enough seats to retake control of the House of Councillors for the government and ending the "twisted" Diet for at least the next three years. With five seats still undecided, the LDP and Kōmeitō have secured 134 seats, comfortably over the majority threshold of 122 seats. …
Will nuclear restarts derail Abe? (Probably not.)
Say what you will about the LDP, but the party has been fairly open about its preference for nuclear energy and restarting Japan's idled reactors as soon as possible. The party may be about to get its wish. On July 8th, four regional power companies will apply to the Nuclear Regulation Authority to begin compulsory …
Continue reading Will nuclear restarts derail Abe? (Probably not.)
Pinpointing public support for Abenomics
With the upper house election campaign in full swing — Michael Cucek has the campaign numbers breakdown here — there is no shortage of public opinion polling to wade through. Because the outcome of the election is more or less a foregone conclusion, not much of it is very interesting. However, it is still worth …
Public support for Abenomics cools slightly, but the LDP will win anyway
With the campaign for the July 21st upper house election set to begin officially on Thursday, the Asahi Shimbun has released the results of its latest opinion polling on the Abe government.The poll contains good news and bad news for Abe Shinzō.The good news for the PM is that there remains no doubt that the LDP …
Continue reading Public support for Abenomics cools slightly, but the LDP will win anyway
Why don’t Japanese take to the streets?
The Eurasia Group's Ian Bremmer has an op-ed in the IHT in which he argues that despite widespread pessimism among Japanese regarding their country's future, things may not be so bad. Basically he suggests that the DPJ may well be learning to get along with business elites and bureaucrats, Japan and the US may be …
Selling free trade
Bogged down by an unfavorable political situation in Tokyo, the Kan government has few avenues for policy innovation. In recent weeks, however, it seems that the Kan government has decided to consider joining the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership (TPP), a multilateral free trade agreement that currently includes only Chile, New Zealand, Singapore, and Brunei, but …
After the showdown
Japanese Prime Minister Kan Naoto and Wen Jiabao, his Chinese counterpart, have met briefly in Brussels on the sideline of the ASEM summit, marking an end to the bilateral standoff following the collision between a Chinese trawler and Japanese Coast Guard vessels in the vicinity of the disputed Senkakus.As expected, Japan and China reiterated the …
Kan presses the reset button
Having successfully fended off Ozawa Ichirō's challenge to his leadership of the ruling Democratic Party of Japan — indeed, having defeated Ozawa by an unexpectedly large margin, not only winning the vote among Diet members but also receiving the support of 249 of 300 district-level party chapters and sixty percent of the vote among local …
Tobias S. Harris 